Bending the Cost Curve without Bending the Innovation Pipeline: New Research on Generic Drugs, Innovation and Savings
By Former Congresswoman Nancy L. Johnson | Tuesday, December 7th, 2010
By Former Congresswoman Nancy Johnson. Too often, when we talk about innovation, there’s a ‘yes…but’ quality to the discussion. Yes, we appreciate the concept of developing new medicines and technologies to extend and enhance human life, but we increasingly question whether the cost of innovation is commensurate with the value it delivers.
Logically, if the weight of public and policymaker opinion continues in this direction, that innovation undermines the greater national goal of affordability, then this will inevitably lead to policy actions that reflect this line of thinking. We’re already seeing this to some degree with the weighty pharmaceutical and device taxes that are part of the new health reform law and the creation of an independent board with the power to slash Medicare reimbursements. While the intention makes sense, it is not clear this path will yield the intended, and worse, may contribute to unintended and undesirable consequences.
There’s too much at stake, both economically and in terms of societal well-being, to travel far down this path without having an absolute certainty that innovation does, in fact, make health care less affordable. Do we just take it on faith that innovation drives costs skyward, or is there empirical evidence that says otherwise?
To be sure, the literature includes a wide range of research on the relationship between innovation, costs, prices, and value. Like almost every aspect of health care policy and research, this one is layered in complexity. Sound bites can be misleading, definitions matter, and important findings can be misconstrued for political purposes and philosophical positioning.
So much has been written about the relationship between prescription drugs, costs, and prices. What does the literature say about the drug prices as they relate to health care cost growth?
Last month, Dr. Ernst Berndt of the Massachusetts Institute of Technology and Murray Aitken of IMS Health published the working draft of a paper that makes an important contribution to this debate. Berndt and Aitken take on one of the widely accepted statements about the relationship between innovation and affordability – that prescription drugs are getting more and more expensive – and ask whether this thesis is supported by available pricing data.
The authors took a look at the Hatch-Waxman Act, the legislation crafted by Congress in 1984 that granted drugmakers a period of market exclusivity on their new products and then promoted consumer access to generic versions of those drugs once that period ended. Some have suggested that the effects of Hatch-Waxman are tilted too far toward the interests of pharmaceutical companies, as exemplified by the regular reports issued by AARP monitoring drug price increases. In fact, AARP said the prices for the top 217 branded drugs went up 9.3 percent in 2009 even though the consumer price index declined. (more…)




